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		<title><![CDATA[2020 Climate Solutions: Latest activity]]></title>
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	  <pubDate>Mon, 12 Dec 2011 10:24:46 +0000</pubDate>
	  <link>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/file/read/273645/wind-energy-utilities-and-renewable-energy-as-a-radical-innovation</link>
	  <title><![CDATA[Wind Energy Utilities and Renewable Energy as a Radical Innovation]]></title>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; line-height: normal;"><em><span>Abstract &ndash; </span></em><span>In this paper it is discussed about wind turbines (utilities) as an innovation which could with its success influence other renewable energy technologies, sustainable development in general and enforce people to reexamine how society and economy function.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; line-height: normal;"><span>I. INTRODUCTION.<strong> </strong></span><span>Wind energy utilities are a radical innovation. As such, they must be approached differently than usual technological innovation, from many aspects. There is not a clear vision how much will they be present percentage-wise as a source of electrical energy (or it is too moderate [1]), but the urgency of situation (peak oil, environmental problems) forces people to develop and use them as much as possible. In this paper wind turbines are approached through complexity of their surrounding, their possibility to set the path for development of both other renewable energy technologies and eco-friendly products (and other activities needed to protect and regenerate the environment), and society which can help their development and usage or make it difficult.</span></p>
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	  <pubDate>Tue, 25 Oct 2011 18:43:34 +0100</pubDate>
	  <link>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/file/read/83269/wind-energy-utilities-and-renewable-energy-in-an-everchanging-business-environment</link>
	  <title><![CDATA[Wind Energy Utilities and Renewable Energy in an Ever-Changing Business Environment]]></title>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 1pt; text-align: justify; line-height: normal;"><span style="font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; color: black;">In this paper wind energy utilities are observed as an innovation which could influence other renewable energy technologies and the entire idea of sustainable development. They are not only a technology for energy production, but also a possible way to prevent the global society from highly unpredictable behaviour and even collapse. As such, possible reasons for a society to collapse from the point of view of complexity and marginal return are also analyzed here. The penetration of wind energy production needs to grow even under ever-changing and possibly chaotic circumstances.</span></p>
]]></description>
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	<item>
	  <guid isPermaLink='true'>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/file/read/75676/choosing-the-best-approach-to-wind-energy-utilities</guid>
	  <pubDate>Sun, 25 Sep 2011 20:10:44 +0100</pubDate>
	  <link>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/file/read/75676/choosing-the-best-approach-to-wind-energy-utilities</link>
	  <title><![CDATA[Choosing the Best Approach to Wind Energy Utilities]]></title>
	  <description><![CDATA[<p>Wind energy can be transformed into electrical<br />energy with different approaches to design, control<br />and allocation. Once a choice is made, it should be<br />close to optimum. Wind energy is renewable and<br />clean and such is its role &ndash; to provide renewable and<br />clean energy with an eco-friendly approach. It means<br />that the chosen approach to business and technology<br />must take into account society and the environment<br />as a whole. Once a direction is chosen and<br />globalized, it is difficult to change it. There is no time<br />for too many mistakes. This challenge is discussed in<br />this paper.</p>
]]></description>
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<item>
<guid isPermaLink='true'>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/pages/view/66447/smart-world</guid>
<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2011 19:23:51 +0100</pubDate>
<link>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/pages/view/66447/smart-world</link>
<title><![CDATA[Smart World]]></title>
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<h1><span style="font-size: 11pt; font-weight: normal;">The title is inspired by the book &ldquo;Smart World: Breakthrough Creativity and the New Science of Ideas&rdquo; by Richard Ogle. It could also be &ldquo;Extended Mind&rdquo; (Andy Clark, David Chalmers) but the &ldquo;smart world&rdquo; concept seems to be wider. The Extended Mind (tools, symbols and tricks that help us to remember and create) is a subset of the Smart World. Your individual consciousness is also a subset of the Smart World, just like a cell of a bigger brain. The &ldquo;new science of ideas&rdquo; doesn&rsquo;t mean to develop and use ideas in a new way, but to see ideas, creativity and applications from a different angle.</span></h1>
<h1><span style="font-size: 11pt; font-weight: normal;">What makes the world smart? First of all, we are not independent thinking entities. We are influenced by our genes, education, parents and acquaintances. Even &ldquo;worse&rdquo;, we are indirectly influenced by people we&rsquo;ve never met. There is a hypothesis that six degrees of separation or less separates you from any other person in the world. Similarly, people you meet are influenced by people or events which you&rsquo;ll possibly never meet. We&rsquo;ve been a collective thinking entity influencing each other like some kind of a hologram no matter whether we are aware of that or not. </span></h1>
<h1><span style="font-size: 11pt; font-weight: normal;">Besides of other people (and intelligent animals), there is an important nonliving component of the smartness of the world. Any tool, book, notebook, media, multimedia or anything interesting can become an extension of our consciousness. These extensions can help us remember, remind, create or think outside the box. Anything that enhances our minds is in a way conscious. It&rsquo;s up to us to try to maximize the usage of these tools. We probably don&rsquo;t use networks and other people&rsquo;s ideas and data as much as we could.</span></h1>
<h1><span style="font-size: 11pt; font-weight: normal;">The last but not the least component of the Smart World mentioned here are tipping points. After reaching a tipping point, a system faces a sudden change into a new equilibrium state. If an emerging idea needs to reach its full capacity, adequate circumstances need to be present in the rest of the (smart or not so smart) world. </span></h1>
<h1><span style="font-size: 11pt; font-weight: normal;">In order to make the world smarter, it&rsquo;s not enough to do some quality thinking. It is also important whom and what we use to help us think and create. In a world of increasingly complicated challenges, we shall have one chance to try and succeed or fail. In the meantime, it would be nice for us to properly perceive the world as a place full of tools, networks, opportunities, surprises, inspiration, information and knowledge. Let yourself be positively surprised.</span></h1>
<h1><span style="font-size: 11pt; font-weight: normal;">It&rsquo;s a big task to collectively create a smarter world. If a person has a good radical idea, his/her hands are tied not just because he/she needs other people for development and implementation of the idea, but also to persist. No one wants to be a tortured genius. We feel more comfortable near the warmth of our herd even when something must be done. You need the community to inspire, encourage and help you. You need to use networks, ad hoc teams and sources of information and inspiration as much as you can. We must be aware of the challenges and opportunities in front of us. We must remind each other that the situation is urgent (actually, considering the inertia, anything within an average human lifespan is urgent) and encourage and be encouraged by other people to stay on the track of thinking and doing things more sustainably. This task can&rsquo;t be done without the first step.</span></h1>
]]></description>
<dc:creator>Aleksandar Malečić</dc:creator>
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<guid isPermaLink='true'>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/blog/read/33318/conference-and-project</guid>
<pubDate>Sat, 25 Jun 2011 09:39:07 +0100</pubDate>
<link>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/blog/read/33318/conference-and-project</link>
<title><![CDATA[Conference and Project]]></title>
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Priority="37" Name="Bibliography" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="39" QFormat="true" Name="TOC Heading" /> </w:LatentStyles> </xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 10]> <mce:style><!   /* Style Definitions */  table.MsoNormalTable 	{mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; 	mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; 	mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; 	mso-style-noshow:yes; 	mso-style-priority:99; 	mso-style-qformat:yes; 	mso-style-parent:""; 	mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; 	mso-para-margin-top:0in; 	mso-para-margin-right:0in; 	mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; 	mso-para-margin-left:0in; 	line-height:115%; 	mso-pagination:widow-orphan; 	font-size:11.0pt; 	font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; 	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; 	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; 	mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; 	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; 	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; 	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; 	mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; 	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} --></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;">I am a PhD student at the Faculty of Electrical Engineering in Ni&scaron;, Serbia. I shall go to the ICEST Conference in Ni&scaron;. I am trying during my PhD studies to work on something between renewable energy technologies and technologies needed for a more efficient connection between energy production and consumption. It has started solely as an improvisation. Nothing would have happened without this meshwork. It has forced me to think more in this direction. Also, I&rsquo;ve been receiving some feedback from its members and also from other people. It works fine for me.</span></p>
<h2><span style="font-size: 11pt; font-weight: normal;">These days I found out there is a scientific project very similar to my interests. Its name is &ldquo;Development of new information and communication technologies, based on advanced mathematical methods, with applications in medicine, telecommunications, power systems, protection of national heritage and education&rdquo;. Here are links related to it: <span>&nbsp;</span><a href="http://www.mi.sanu.ac.rs/projects/projects.htm" target="1">http://www.mi.sanu.ac.rs/projects/projects.htm</a> (Interdisciplinary), <a href="http://www.mi.sanu.ac.rs/projects/044006r.htm">http://www.mi.sanu.ac.rs/projects/044006r.htm</a> (the researchers) and <a href="http://www.mi.sanu.ac.rs/projects/044006e.htm">http://www.mi.sanu.ac.rs/projects/044006e.htm</a> (the description). These links will probably be active as long the project is. Due to its interdisciplinary nature I didn&rsquo;t find it earlier. It&rsquo;s been there all the time. I&rsquo;ve sent e-mail messages to people in charge and now I am waiting for response. If it turns out as I hope, I shall be more active in this meshwork. My idea had started out of thin air and my activities in this meshwork and somehow it started taking shape.</span></h2>
]]></description>
<dc:creator>Aleksandar Malečić</dc:creator>
</item>

<item>
<guid isPermaLink='true'>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/pages/view/17871/peak-oil-and-natural-resources</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 02 Mar 2011 10:04:51 +0000</pubDate>
<link>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/pages/view/17871/peak-oil-and-natural-resources</link>
<title><![CDATA[Peak Oil and Natural Resources]]></title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>The modern economy relies heavily on relatively cheap oil. When its  (at the moment still taken for granted) relatively low price changes,  many other components of modern life will also change. Oil is being used  for both energy and raw materials. When the economy based upon it  starts reaching the limits of growth, people will be forced to define  priorities. These priorities should be focused in three directions:  existing technologies, possible new technologies and product lifecycle  management.</p>
<p>Out of existing technologies, some of them are not  being used as much as they should and some are still inventions waiting  to become (sold and implemented) innovations. Also, a more sustainable  approach (renewable energy, organic agriculture, local exchange of goods  and global exchange of ideas) can consume a lot of money, time and human enthusiasm in comparison to a more careless attitude. It is not always wise to care about the future in a highly competitive global environment.</p>
<p>This is the moment in history with the fastest development in  science and technology. Based upon previous experience, there is a good  reason to believe that science and technology can solve many problems.  Still, we cannot know for sure whether this will always be the case. In  order to deal with peak oil, science and technology should focus on  replacements for oil in agriculture (soil fertility), raw materials and energy.  It can be challenging to develop these new technologies especially  because it's uncertain what can really be done with the existing  knowledge and resources on this planet. Also, peak oil is a very  abstract phenomenon before it happens. It is complicated to fight an  imaginary problem with imaginary solutions.</p>
<p>The same term of product lifecycle management can be used in marketing and production. Marketing is more focused  on economic growth and problems and production is focused on solutions.  These are two different approaches sharing the same world. Marketing  encourages competition (isolated silos - recycle and interact with the  rest of the world only if you must) and innovations for maximization of  profit (more profit allows more new investments and chances for  development). It feeds on consumerism and a constant lack of  satisfaction with previous generations of the product (only new  technologies are competitive and good for "cheating" while calculating  the GDP growth). Profit can indeed be used for investments in  development of new technologies (and implementation of those that  already exist), but under the paradigm of constant competition and  growth there is never enough profit. Also, the growth has its limits on a limited world.</p>
<p>When  peak oil appears and hits the root of global economy and society, it  will never go away. It will be just becoming increasingly tough. The  whole story about peak oil can be applied to any natural resource.  Actually, the challenge of limited natural resources (raw materials,  infrastructure, urban vs. rural) will happen within a single lifetime of  our generation. So, to existing technologies, new technologies and  product lifecycle management, one must add the human component.  Competition, monetary equivalents of value, specialization and growth  (population and economy) are good as long as they serve human needs. The  system should support people and not the other way round. An  alternative approach to getting things done is possible unless proven  opposite.</p>
<p>Even when the solution is at least partially visible, it can be challenging to implement it. The unsustainable  approach to business as accumulating profit (power, influence,  connections...) and the gap between rich and poor people is still  growing. Even if corporations wanted to change their direction, their  competition and stakeholders wouldn't easily allow them to do so. This  is exactly the situation (stretching careless behaviour and debts to the  limit) that has caused the financial crisis. Perhaps the crawling financial crisis will slow down the pace of global competition and become a chance for new approaches.</p>
]]></description>
<dc:creator>Aleksandar Malečić</dc:creator>
</item>

<item>
<guid isPermaLink='true'>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/pages/view/17784/too-big-to-fail</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 15 Feb 2011 12:58:14 +0000</pubDate>
<link>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/pages/view/17784/too-big-to-fail</link>
<title><![CDATA[Too Big to Fail]]></title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>The "too big to fail" approaching means gambling on one and only one outcome. If an objective analysis of the chances for that outcome to happen (peak oil, limited resources, the environment, global competition...) shows that they equal zero, than we are not talking about something sudden and unexpected. As Taleb has noticed in his book "The Black Swan", it's like a well-fed turkey seeing humans as friends. So, where are these too big to fail structures?</p>
<p>There is peak oil. Peak oil is an event after which becomes increasingly complicated to dig out more oil. It is a point of no return. Oil is being used both as a fossil fuel and raw material. It's relatively easier for a limited number of people to earn money on fossil fuels. Also, fertilizers (food production) are made of oil. It's difficult to define priorities, especially because food production and water protection is very complicated profitability-wise. Food production and supply chains may especially be in trouble in big urban areas. It is like moving to the wall (increasingly fast because of global competition) even if it is very probable (if not 100% certain) that we are about to hit it soon. We don't know how soon will it happen (global competition and investments don't allow oil companies to make their limitations public), but we are talking here about a maximum of a decade or two.</p>
<p>Global economy is also too big to fail. It is not only about global competition, but also about covering every person and activity living in developed societies (settlers instead hunters and gatherers) under one big roof of free enterprise. Also, the rich tend to be richer because they have know-how, experience and tradition, experts, investments, connections and habits on their side. Their habits can be especially challenging because luxury and careless behaviour are driving forces of business as usual - they give it a purpose. Also, as long as natural and debt limits are not reached, diversified activities and investments (if they are the best in the world) are good for business because risks are spread across different areas (all eggs are not in one "basket"). If we presume that global corporations (an alternative name for globalization as usual) are indeed too big to fail, what would exactly happen if they failed? When they enter natural markets, they eliminate less competitive companies. Differences between more and less competitive companies are very subtle and sometimes marketing is the only difference. When global corporations (and their investments and the latest know-how) withdraw, there won't be local and national companies ready to replace them.</p>
<p>Competition, new technologies, innovations and interactions are forcing businesses to move increasingly fast. If your business doesn't move fast enough, someone else's will and your business will not be competitive anymore. The difference between innovation and invention is that innovation is accepted and bought by other people. As such, an innovation or a new product must be advertised. Customers need to be convinced that they will be happy only after they have bought the latest product or service. Global economy as usual feeds on consumerism, perpetual unhappiness and large numbers. In this kind of arrangement time intervals between the previous generation of a product and the new one should be increasingly short.</p>
<p>Modern economy relies more on services than on goods. Products are the root of every society, but "everyone" can make them, so global competition doesn't depend much on them. At least things used to work this way with business as usual on a supposedly unlimited planet.</p>
<p>Global population, if growing forever, can become too big to fail. It is probably already too big to fail. Population growth and challenges to control it make more visible the inertia existing in all systems that are too big to fail. Also, how will towns (or even worse large cities)&nbsp; deal with the modern challenges?</p>
<p>Once the environment is devastated, it can be very complicated to regenerate it. We have forgotten that we are an animal species just like any other. Even worse, we are physically weaker and younger than some of them (crocodiles and mosquitoes have survived many different climate conditions).</p>
<p>So, it seems that climate change belongs to just one out of many too big to fail interconnected systems. Negative outcomes, because of our inertia, look highly improbable even when they aren't. They will look obvious and logical after the tipping point has been reached.</p>
]]></description>
<dc:creator>Aleksandar Malečić</dc:creator>
</item>

<item>
<guid isPermaLink='true'>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/blog/read/17781/healthy-neighbourhood-development--examples</guid>
<pubDate>Mon, 14 Feb 2011 20:13:33 +0000</pubDate>
<link>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/blog/read/17781/healthy-neighbourhood-development--examples</link>
<title><![CDATA[Healthy neighbourhood development  - examples]]></title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>I am looking for case studies linked to&nbsp; WHO healthy cities programmes worldwide for a new WHO publication</p>
]]></description>
<dc:creator>Marcus Grant</dc:creator>
</item>

<item>
<guid isPermaLink='true'>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/pages/view/17535/politics</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 23 Dec 2010 09:55:50 +0000</pubDate>
<link>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/pages/view/17535/politics</link>
<title><![CDATA[Politics]]></title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Politicians are notorious for "lies" and failed promises. They are encouraged and even forced to make such promises by their voters. Politics and its hierarchy can hardly deal with increasingly complex problems. No one can predict what will happen, especially not years in advance. In statistics and theory of measurement there is an average value and error. In society, economy, and politics such "errors" are generators of changes. As unexpected and significant events emerge and grow in intensity, they create their own statistics and can bring the whole bell curve closer to them.</p>
<p>A single person can be an expert for a very specific situation. As circumstances change (and we are living in times of ever-changing circumstances), someone else may be helpful. There should be some kind of ad-hoc and adaptive (Online?) network capable to both behave flexibly and encourage its members. Complex problems should be dealt with complex approaches to solutions. Elected politicians, whoever they are, are a few people out of many. They are elected after their promises ("lies") of the eternal growth. The eternal growth of population and economy is one approach to reality out of many. It's our choice to sacrifice everything, even lives of our children, to that cause or not.</p>
<p>If we presume that natural resources are unlimited, anything opposite to this presumption appears to us as "highly improbable" and unexpected. We can't blame anyone or anything (except our evolutionarily advantageous herd mentality) for our wrong perception. If simple mathematics (simpler than proving that we live on a round planet that moves around the Sun) is enough to prove that spreading the virus of eternal growth and global competition can cause some serious damage, experts can't change the situation by their perception (belonging to the past) and wishful thinking. Bell curves are models of static reality, and our reality is anything but static. Politicians and experts are as much to blame as people who force them to make predictions (as optimistic as possible) and put the real world in "realistic" models and predictions. Only changes are eternal. Our thoughts and hopes can't change anything about this fact.</p>
]]></description>
<dc:creator>Aleksandar Malečić</dc:creator>
</item>

<item>
<guid isPermaLink='true'>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/pages/view/17510/on-the-wings-of-the-black-swan</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 21 Dec 2010 15:37:14 +0000</pubDate>
<link>http://2020.global.gaiaspace.org/global/pg/pages/view/17510/on-the-wings-of-the-black-swan</link>
<title><![CDATA[On the Wings of the Black Swan]]></title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>The title above is inspired by the book "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Put simply, those "black swans" are improbable (or, more precisely, unexpected) events with huge impact. They change directions in human activities such as economy and science. Bell curves (such as Gaussian) and statistics are suited for stable circumstances and theory of measurement. Huge societal changes happen on margins of a bell curve, where rarely anyone (experts included) sees them as they emerge.</p>
<p>Since this meshwork is dealing with the "blackest" swans of all (such as climate change and renewable energy - expected, but hard to grasp from past experiences), this whole concept deserves to be observed here more closely.</p>
]]></description>
<dc:creator>Aleksandar Malečić</dc:creator>
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